What can you expect this Black Friday and Cyber Monday?

What can retailers expect this Black Friday and Cyber Monday? While physical retail is expected to under perform again, it's going to be a record breaking year for e-commerce.

As we gear up for Thanksgiving, we think of turkey, pumpkin pie, time with family and of course, shopping. Black Friday is crucial because it kicks off the critical holiday shopping season during which almost one third of annual retail sales occur. 

Black Friday has under-performed expectations

Despite retailers' emphasis on Black Friday, consumer participation and spend have been declining for the past several years. According to the National Retail Federation’s annual survey, last year there were just over 100 million in-store shoppers on Thanksgiving weekend (compared to a forecast of 135 million). These figures represented a decline of over 20% relative to 2014. 2014, by the way, also significantly underperformed the forecast. 

But Cyber Monday will be record breaking

On the e-commerce side; however, the picture is much rosier. According to Adobe Digital Insight’s Holiday Prediction, Cyber Monday will be the largest online shopping day in history, well exceeding $3 bn. Mobile is expected to continue to represent an increasing share of Cyber Monday Visits (nearly 50% or 25% growth relative to 2015). However, this increase might be a double edged sword given that desktop conversion rates are nearly 3x that of mobile conversion rates. Two potential remedies to address this gap are mobile retargeting to reach the mobile cart abandoner and improved checkout flow to make it easier for mobile shoppers to purchase in the first place. 

Consumers choose e-commerce for convenience

The underlying drivers of increased e-commerce spend are factors related to convenience, with over 50% of consumers citing free shipping as a reason for preferring to shop online. We asked our advisor, Robert Escobar, an operations executive with experience at brands like Bare Escentuals, Stella & Dot, Ipsy and Gwynnie Bee for his thoughts on how e-commerce retailers could tackle shipping this holiday season and beyond:

“Given the volume surge between Cyber Monday and Christmas, all ecommerce retailers should be thinking about how to reduce customer delivery jitters. Its awesome to offer great product, but not great to miss the expected delivery date. First, think through your own ability to process orders out of your warehouse and hand-off to the shipping company. Understand how long it takes for your shipping company to deliver. Always allow for 1-2 extra shipping days beyond the quoted date, unless its an overnight or two day guarantee shipping service. Second, if you charge for shipping, make sure to have an accurate cost calculator to ensure the customer knows the exact cost before they checkout. Lastly, make sure your consumers can track their shipment by providing them with a direct link email.”

As hectic as the holiday season might get, Fuse is here to help you focus on your business, not your inventory.